Wales vs Finland Prediction, Tips & Odds – 21.03.2024
Wales vs Finland Prediction 21.03.2024. In the semi-final of the EURO 2024 qualifiers via Path A, Wales will host Finland on Thursday at 20:45 at the Cardiff City Stadium.
The winner of this match will face the victor of the clash between Poland and Estonia, while the overall winner will be placed in Group D of the final tournament along with the Netherlands, France, and Austria.
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Wales vs Finland Odds
Wales Team News
The excitement in the playoffs is nothing new for this week’s hosts, who stood out in 2022 by defeating Austria and Ukraine, qualifying for their first World Cup in 64 years. Such achievements must now be replicated if they are to be among the best in Europe.
After earning just four points in the first four games of the Euro 2024 qualifying Group D, their chances of securing one of the top two spots, which would have guaranteed qualification ahead of Croatia or Turkey, were significantly reduced. However, they managed to clinch third place, thanks to a four-match unbeaten run in the latter part of the qualifiers. Wales even managed to defeat Croatia 2-1 and draw with Turkey 1-1 in that unbeaten streak. Despite relegation from League A of the Nations League, competing in the elite tier will give them a chance at redemption.
Having failed to qualify for any European Championships between 1964 and 2012, Wales are now potentially just 180 minutes away from their third consecutive finals appearance and are undefeated in their last six matches under Rob Page across all competitions. Moreover, they have only been defeated once in their last 15 European Championship qualifying matches on home soil and have failed to score only twice in that sequence.
Page is already facing a defensive challenge ahead of Thursday’s game, with injuries to Joe Low from Wycombe and Ben Cabango from Swansea, while Luton captain Tom Lockyer is still recovering from a cardiac arrest on the field. Despite this, the often-injured Aaron Ramsey has received an unexpected call-up to the squad. Page’s biggest dilemma lies in the defense, as Danny Ward, Wayne Hennessey, Tom King, and Adam Davies have mostly been on the fringes of their club teams this season, with Ward seemingly set to get the nod despite not playing a single minute for Leicester City.
Finland Team News
The Euro 2024 qualifying Group H provided an interesting battle for supremacy among Denmark, Slovenia, Kazakhstan, and Finland. However, Finland ultimately claimed third place in the group with 18 points out of a possible 30. While victories against Northern Ireland and San Marino in November were inconsequential for the automatic qualification spots secured by Denmark and Slovenia, Finland managed to surpass Kazakhstan thanks to a superior goal difference.
Despite finishing third or fourth, this would not affect Finland’s prospects for the playoffs. Finland retained their status in League B of the Nations League and now only need two more victories to qualify for the Euros finals for the second consecutive time. Making their debut in the postponed 2021 tournament, Finland has three wins in their last four away matches in the Euro qualifiers.
Although they defeated Wales in the World Cup 2010 qualifying group, Finland has failed to win in their last four matches, losing both of their encounters in the Nations League 2020-21 before playing a goalless draw in Helsinki in September 2021.
Finland faces two concerns ahead of the playoffs, as Inter Miami midfielder Robert Taylor has withdrawn, and Middlesbrough striker Marcus Forss is doubtful due to a leg injury. Nevertheless, Teemu Pukki, currently playing for Minnesota United, is expected to make his 119th appearance and needs just one more goal to reach 40 goals for his country. In midfield, Glen Kamara from Leeds United is likely to feature, while Lukas Hradecky from Bayer Leverkusen is set to be in goal, on track to win the Bundesliga.
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Wales vs Finland H2H
03.09.2020. Finland vs Wales 0:1
18.11.2020. Wales vs Finland 3:1
01.09.2021. Finland vs Wales 0:0
Injuries and suspensions
Wales: Joe Low, Ben Cabango, Tom Lockyer
Finland: Robert Taylor, Marcus Forss
Expected Lineups
Wales (3-4-2-1): Ward; Mepham, Rodon, Davies; Roberts, Ampadu, Levitt, Williams; Wilson, Johnson; Moore
Finland (4-3-3): Hradecky; Soiri, Hoskonen, Jensen, Uronen; Kamara, Schuller, Jensen; Lod, Pukki, Pohjanpalo
Wales vs Finland Prediction
Since meeting in the 2020 Nations League, Wales has only conceded one goal to Finland in 270 minutes of football. Additionally, the Dragons are rarely outperformed in Euro qualifiers. Despite Finland’s recent unconvincing 2-1 win against San Marino, players like Harry Wilson, Brennan Johnson, and Kieffer Moore are in good form for their clubs. Therefore, we expect Page’s team to continue progressing towards next week’s final.
Kick-off Time: Thursday, 21.03.2024, 8:45 PM Local Time (GMT +1), 20:45 CET
Prediction: Wales to win
Odds (when tipped): 1.90
Sportsbook: Rabona
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