Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction, Tips & Odds – 05.05.2024
Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction 05.05.2024. Aston Villa could secure their place in the Champions League on Sunday at the Amex Stadium, where they will face a struggling Brighton team.
The Lions are returning to the Premier League after a shocking loss to Olympiacos in the first leg of the European Conference League semi-finals, while the Seagulls lost 3-0 to Bournemouth last weekend.
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Brighton vs Aston Villa Odds
Brighton Team News
Last weekend at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth dealt a painful defeat to Brighton, continuing their late-season slump with a 3-0 loss. Andoni Iraola’s team needed just 13 minutes to open the scoring through Marcos Senesi, then Enes Unal and Justin Kluivert added two more, securing Bournemouth’s position in the top half of the table. Meanwhile, the “Seagulls” fell to 12th place and now have little hope of qualifying for European competitions.
Brighton has secured just two points from the last 18 available in the Premier League, following their exit from the Europa League despite beating Roma. This poor run of results has put coach Roberto De Zerbi’s future in jeopardy. At the same time, the team has scored only two goals in the last six matches, and just five in the past 12 across all competitions. This is the same number of goals they scored in a single match against Sheffield United in mid-February. The 5-0 win over Sheffield United marked the last time Brighton scored more than one goal in a match, and with upcoming fixtures against Newcastle, Manchester United, and Chelsea, the end of the season can’t come soon enough for the “Seagulls” fans.
Injury troubles have also contributed to Brighton’s struggles, as Solly March, Evan Ferguson, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, and Pervis Estupinan are all out for the rest of the season. Additionally, Adam Lallana is a new name on the injury list. De Zerbi bravely gave Irish teenager Mark O’Mahony a chance in the loss against Bournemouth but replaced him with Danny Welbeck at halftime. Welbeck is expected to return to the starting lineup, and Joel Veltman might take over from Odela Offiah at right-back.
Aston Villa Team News
Although Brighton’s European journey ended some time ago, Unai Emery, known for his successes in the Europa League, is still seeking glory in the European Conference League. However, the Lions face the prospect of a semi-final failure after a shocking loss to Olympiacos at Villa Park on Thursday. The Greek team, known for their upsets on English soil, took a two-goal advantage back home thanks to a hat-trick from Ayoub El Kaabi and a late strike from Santiago Hezze. Goals from Moussa Diaby and Ollie Watkins didn’t mean much that night. Douglas Luiz also missed a late penalty, leaving Villa in need of a miracle in Athens if they want to turn the tie around next week. However, the Lions might not need to win the European Conference League to secure a spot in the Europa League.
Even though they squandered a two-goal lead against Chelsea last weekend, Aston Villa holds a seven-point advantage over Tottenham, who have a game in hand. If they win at the Amex and Tottenham lose to Liverpool later on Sunday, they will officially secure a Champions League spot. A leaky defense hasn’t slowed down Villa, as, despite the 4-2 loss to Olympiacos, they’ve scored more than one goal in seven consecutive matches. Earlier this season, they dominated Brighton with a 6-1 win at Villa Park, marking their fifth consecutive victory over a team struggling with finishing.
Unai Emery also faces the absence of several key players due to season-ending injuries, such as Tyrone Mings, Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, and Jacob Ramsey. During last weekend’s draw with Chelsea, first-choice goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez and Youri Tielemans got injured, ruling them out of the match against Olympiacos. Alex Moreno was also close to returning but wasn’t ready. Emery is unlikely to risk these players given the upcoming second-leg semi-final, so Robin Olsen will likely continue in goal, while Pau Torres and a recovered Nicolo Zaniolo are options for rotation.
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Brighton vs Aston Villa H2H
26.02.2022. Brighton vs Aston Villa 0:2
13.11.2022. Brighton vs Aston Villa 1:2
08.12.2022. Aston Villa vs Brighton 2:2
28.05.2023. Aston Villa vs Brighton 2:1
30.09.2023. Aston Villa vs Brighton 6:1
Injuries and suspensions
Brighton: Adam Lallana, Solly March, Evan Ferguson, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Pervis Estupinan
Aston Villa: Emiliano Martinez, Youri Tielemans, Tyrone Mings, Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Jacob Ramsey
Expected Lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Veltman, Dunk, Igor, Barco; Gilmour, Gross; Adingra, Buonanotte, Pedro; Welbeck
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Olsen; Konsa, Carlos, Torres, Digne; McGinn, Luiz; Bailey, Zaniolo, Rogers; Watkins
Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
Villa might understandably be focused on the upcoming match in Piraeus, and the Lions’ European exertion, combined with Brighton’s weak attacking form, could suggest a quieter clash at the Amex Stadium this weekend. However, Villa hasn’t lost its attacking instinct, and with the potential need for just one more win to secure a top-four spot, Emery’s team might take advantage of Brighton’s porous defense and seize the opportunity to qualify for next season’s Champions League.
Kick-off Time: Sunday, 05.05.2024, 2:00 PM Local Time (GMT 0), 15:00 CET
Prediction: Aston Villa to win
Odds (when tipped): 2.50
Sportsbook: Mozzart
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