NBA Player Props – Mitchell Robinson, Heat vs Knicks G3
NBA Player Props Prediction – Miami Heat vs New York Knicks G3 06.05.2023. The semifinal playoff series of the Eastern Conference, between the Heat and the Knicks, now moves to Miami, where the next two duels will be played. The current score is 1-1, Miami managed to get a break, but in the second match, it couldn’t do much without Butler.
Can the Knicks break, or will the Heat defend their home court?
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NBA Player Props Prediction
The Knicks eliminated the Cavs with a defensive clinic. If they didn’t excel offensively, Mitchell Robinson, who was extremely helpful defensively, is certainly, to a large extent, responsible for that.
A bit uncharacteristic point game because he is not even in the top 5 offensive options in his team. However, we see very good value here because the margin is not equal to his average points in the playoffs.
In this year’s playoffs, Robinson is averaging 28 minutes on the floor and scoring 7.6 points per game, which is quite a departure from his current margin.
He cleared this limit in 6 out of a total of 7 playoff games, and if we look at the last 11 games he played, he even went over the offered margin 10 times.
He crossed this line in the current semifinal playoff series against the Heat both times.
It should certainly be noted that the Heat’s focus defensively will be to stop Brunson and Randle, but also Barrett, who is playing better and better, which should open up a lot of space for some easy points for shadow players.
Mitchell Robinson
Robinson mostly scores from offensive rebounds and is quite dominant there or from passing teammates to the heart of the racket because he is exclusively active on that part of the court.
It should be noted that this will probably be another defensive duel, so we should expect a lot of bonus situations in which Robinson often uses physical strength to force free throws. Let’s say only in the previous duel, he made as many as 6 throws.
In general, one gets the impression that the limit is not commensurate with his games in the playoffs. The over percentage of 85% speaks volumes for that.
H2H
03.05.23. New York Knicks-Miami Heat 111:105 – M. Robinson (6 pts)
30.04.23. New York Knicks-Miami Heat 101:108 – M. Robinson (7 pts)
30.03.23. New York Knicks-Miami Heat 101:92 – M. Robinson (2 pts)
23.03.23. Miami Heat-New York Knicks 127:120 – M. Robinson (10 pts)
Tipp-off Time: Saturday, 06.05.2023. 03:30 PM ET / Saturday, 06.05.2023. 21:30 CET
Prediction: Mitchell Robinson Over 5.5 Points
Odds: 1.71
Sportsbook: Bet365
