Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, Tips & Odds – 30.03.2024

March 29, 2024
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction 30.03.2024. Fiorentina is gearing up for their return to Serie A action, as they welcome AC Milan to the Artemio Franchi Stadium on Saturday at 8:45 PM.

The Viola’s general manager passed away suddenly just before their match against Atalanta, which was then postponed. The club will likely soon begin the search for a new director, while Milan focuses on securing their position among the top two teams in the table.

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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Odds

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Fiorentina Team News

Just before their last match before the international break, Fiorentina faced a great tragedy as their game against Atalanta was called off at the last minute. The general manager, Joe Barone, was urgently taken to a hospital in nearby Milan but later passed away. Two weeks later, news emerged that coach Vincenzo Italiano might leave when his contract expires at the end of the season.

With just one point from their last home game, a 2-2 draw against Roma, Italiano’s team has managed to secure 27 out of a possible 42 points at the Franchi stadium so far. However, they now return to action with a tough match against Serie A’s second-placed team.

Since the departure of Dusan Vlahovic two years ago, Fiorentina has lacked a top striker, resulting in the last 10 league goals being scored by 10 different players. Antonin Barak scored in their recent Europa Conference League draw against Maccabi Haifa, securing an aggregate victory and a place in the quarter-finals.

Their recent inability to finish games has proven costly, as the Tuscan club has also drawn three of their last four league matches. They will hope to find sharper finishing during the upcoming series of matches. In addition to facing Viktoria Plzen in a two-legged Conference League tie, Fiorentina is also a Coppa Italia semi-finalist for the second season in a row. They meet Atalanta next week, sandwiched between challenging matches against Milan and Juventus.

Nico Gonzalez, Fiorentina’s top scorer this season alongside former Milan player Giacomo Bonaventura, has already matched his best Serie A season in terms of goals. However, he has only scored once in his last 10 league appearances after netting six times in the first 11. Bonaventura will miss this match against his former club due to suspension, so either Antonin Barak or Lucas Beltran is set to start behind striker Andrea Belotti. If backup goalkeeper Oliver Christensen is ready, Viola coach Vincenzo Italiano will have a full squad available, except for the suspended Bonaventura.

AC Milan Team News

In their last encounter in November, Milan emerged victorious with a 1-0 win at San Siro, courtesy of Theo Hernandez’s penalty just before halftime. Since then, the Rossoneri have experienced ups and downs, including exits from the Champions League and Coppa Italia. However, their win against Verona just before the break for international duty helped them solidify their grip on the second spot in the table.

One of Milan’s three scorers at the Bentegodi stadium was American winger Christian Pulisic, who has already equaled his best goal-scoring tally in the league and is now just one goal away from reaching double digits for the first time in his career. Pulisic is a regular member of Stefano Pioli’s preferred attacking trio, alongside Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leao. Additionally, Milan has scored more goals from substitutes than any other team in the top five European leagues, with a total of 14 goals, their best tally so far this century.

Such squad depth could aid their progress in the Europa League, where they will face Italian counterparts Roma in the quarter-finals. However, winning the Scudetto this year seems beyond reach for them. Despite trailing city rivals Inter Milan by 14 points, securing the second spot ahead of Juventus would still be a significant achievement. Milan has been the best-performing team away from home in 2024, accumulating the most points (15) and scoring the most goals (15), instilling confidence in them ahead of their upcoming fixtures.

Pioli may call upon Davide Calabria and Alessandro Florenzi to replace Theo Hernandez at full-back on Saturday evening, as Hernandez is suspended due to accumulated bookings. Over the past two seasons, Milan has won 64% of matches with Hernandez in the starting XI, compared to only 22% without him. Their average performance also drops significantly, to just one point and 0.8 goals per game, without him. Pierre Kalulu is still injured, while Simon Kjaer picked up an injury during duty with the Danish national team, meaning Fikayo Tomori and Mattia Gabbia are likely to partner in the center of defense. Leading Milan’s attack, Olivier Giroud is the team’s top scorer in the league with 12 goals, placing him third in the Capocannoniere standings.


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Fiorentina vs AC Milan H2H

01.05.2022. AC Milan vs Fiorentina 1:0

13.11.2022. AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2:1

04.03.2023. Fiorentina vs AC Milan 2:1

25.11.2023. AC Milan vs Fiorentina 1:0

Injuries and suspensions

Fiorentina: Giacomo Bonaventura, Oliver Christensen

AC Milan: Theo Hernandez, Pierre Kalulu, Simon Kjaer

Expected Lineups

Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): Terracciano; Kayode, Milenković, Ranieri, Biraghi; Arthur, Mandragora; Gonzalez, Beltran, Sottil; Belotti

AC Milan (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Calabria, Tomori, Gabbia, Florenzi; Bennacer, Reijnders; Pulisic, Loftus-Cheek, Leao; Giroud

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction

Only one of the last 12 league matches between Fiorentina and Milan ended in a draw, but that could be the outcome this weekend. However, we slightly favor the guests, and Viola will almost certainly miss the chance to record three consecutive home wins against the Rossoneri for the first time since 1970. Still, even securing one point would be welcome. Additionally, we expect the match to be tightly contested, with a low number of goals.

Kick-off Time: Saturday, 30.03.2024, 8:45 PM Local Time (GMT +1), 20:45 CET

Prediction: draw/AC Milan & under 3.5

Odds (when tipped): 1.9

Sportsbook: 20bet

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