Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction (06.06.2025) – Best Tips & Odds

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction 06.06.2025. Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti are set to clash once again on Friday, this time with a spot in the French Open - final at stake.

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz: Best Betting Odds

Match Preview

It will be their third meeting on clay during this European swing, and if recent history is any indication, Alcaraz has the upper hand.

The Spaniard has won both of their 2025 encounters so far – first in Monte Carlo where he bounced back from a slow start to dominate 3-6, 6-1, 6-0, and then again in Rome with a 6-3, 7-6(4) semifinal victory. That brings Alcaraz’s head-to-head lead over Musetti to 6-1 overall, including a 3-1 advantage on clay. The only time Musetti managed to get the better of him was in the 2022 Hamburg final in a tight three-set battle.

These two are becoming familiar opponents for a reason – they’re both making deep runs on a consistent basis. Musetti, in particular, has found impressive form over the last year. After a strong second half of 2024, including a Wimbledon semifinal and a bronze medal at the Paris Olympics, he’s carried that momentum into this clay-court season. The Italian has already made it to the final in Monte Carlo and backed it up with semifinal appearances in both Madrid and Rome. Now boasting a 25-7 record for the year, Musetti has been solid in Paris, taking out Hanfmann, Galan, Navone, Rune, and Tiafoe without too much fuss.

Alcaraz, on the other hand, had a shaky start to his 2025 campaign, looking out of rhythm through the early hard-court stretch. But since the clay season began, he’s been nearly unstoppable. With titles in Monte Carlo and Rome plus a runner-up showing in Barcelona, he’s surged up the Race to Turin and reminded everyone why he’s one of the game’s most dangerous players. Though he wasn’t flawless in his earlier rounds at Roland Garros, his quarterfinal demolition of Tommy Paul – dropping just five games – was a clear statement.

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz: Prediction & Betting Tips

Kick-off Time: Friday, 06.06.2025 14:30 CET

Prediction: Over 31.5

Odds: 1,65

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On another surface, Musetti might be a serious threat. But on clay, Alcaraz is dictating points with heavy topspin and impeccable shot selection. His drop shot, in particular, has become a weapon opponents still struggle to counter.

Musetti will put up a fight, and it could be closer than expected. Still, it’s hard to look past Alcaraz, who appears locked in and hungry to defend his title.

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