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Last updated: 1 October 2026 23:56 CET
Wales vs Denmark Prediction 04.10.2026. Three teams in Group A4 are level on three points. Thursday pulled two of them apart, and the Wales vs Denmark prediction 04.10.2026 has to weigh a home win over ten-man Norway against a 4-2 home defeat by Portugal. Cardiff City Stadium hosts Matchday 4 of UEFA Nations League A on Sunday at 20:45 CEST (19:45 local time).
Before beating Norway, Wales had gone eight top-tier Nations League matches without a win. Denmark have scored twice in all three group games. They have also conceded seven.
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- Betting bonuses welcomeNorway led through Oscar Bobb after 11 minutes in Cardiff on Thursday, and Wales still won 2-1. Daniel James tapped in a Sorba Thomas cross on 38. Torbjørn Heggem was sent off straight after the restart, and Neco Williams scored from the free-kick on 48.
Copenhagen on 27 September went differently. Ben Davies turned a Mikkel Damsgaard cross into his own net soon after the restart and Gustav Isaksen made it 2-0.
The opener in Lisbon on 24 September was a 1-0 defeat by Portugal, settled by João Félix on 22 minutes. Craig Bellamy’s side missed the World Cup after a play-off shootout defeat by Bosnia and Herzegovina on 26 March. Thursday was their first win of 2026.
Portugal won 4-2 at Parken on Thursday. Denmark levelled twice. Damsgaard made it 1-1 on 23 minutes and Rasmus Højlund made it 2-2 on 53, before Vitinha on 67 and Félix on 87 settled it.
Damsgaard built the 2-0 win over Wales four days earlier. He created both goals and hit a post.
Erling Haaland’s winner on 74 minutes gave Norway a 3-2 victory in Oslo on 24 September, after Denmark had recovered from two goals down. Brian Riemer’s side lost a World Cup play-off final to Czechia on penalties on 31 March. The Wales vs Denmark odds make the visitors favourites.
Denmark have won the last two meetings. The Wales vs Denmark H2H shows 2-0 at Parken on 27 September and 4-0 in Amsterdam at Euro 2020 on 26 June 2021.
Thursday’s result changes little in this Wales vs Denmark prediction. Denmark have scored twice in all three group games and beat Wales 2-0 seven days earlier. Both Welsh goals in the group came on Thursday, the second after a red card. The best bet in this fixture is the away win.
Kick-off Time: 04.10.2026 20:45 CEST
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Prediction: Denmark to win
Odds: 1.96
Sportsbook: 20bet - 20bet
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change. 18+, gamble responsibly.
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