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CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction & Betting Tips 09.07.2026
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction 09.07.2026. CSKA Sofia host Derry City at Vasil Levski National Stadium in Sofia on Thursday in the first leg of their Europa League qualifier.
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- Go 22betCSKA Sofia vs Derry City: Best Betting Odds
Match Preview
CSKA Sofia
CSKA’s season had a happy ending even if the middle of it was ordinary – a fourth-place league finish salvaged by a penalty-shootout win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgarian Cup final, their 22nd domestic cup. Pre-season went well too: three wins from four friendlies, the last of them a 3-0 rout of city rivals Marek. Dig into their competitive form and it’s less convincing. They failed to win any of their final four matches of last season in regulation, and they’ve won just once in their last five at Vasil Levski. Their most recent competitive outing, a 1-0 away loss at Ludogorets, actually saw them dominate the ball with 53% possession and eight shots on target without finding a breakthrough. So there’s a pattern of creating without converting sitting alongside the cup-winning form. Home advantage and a midfield capable of controlling tempo still make them clear favourites here, and this is a club chasing its first European group-stage appearance since 2023-24.
Derry City
Sixth place and 29 points from 25 games – that’s where Derry sit domestically right now, a sharp comedown after finishing runners-up in three of the last four Irish seasons. Their most recent match was a 4-2 home defeat to Waterford, and the strange part is Derry actually had 70% of possession and six shots on goal in that game. The problem wasn’t creating chances, it was defending them, and that’s become a recurring theme: nine of their last fifteen away matches in Europe have seen them concede at least two goals. Injuries aren’t helping either, with Darragh Markey out through a muscle problem and Rob Slevin only just working his way back from his own layoff. History doesn’t offer much comfort – the last time these two clubs met, in 2009, CSKA won 1-0 in Bulgaria. Everything from the table position to the leaky European away record points toward a side under real pressure on Thursday.
Head-to-Head
CSKA Sofia beat Derry City 1-0 the last time they met, back in 2009, also in Europa League qualifying. It’s a single data point from a long time ago, but it does line up with how both clubs look right now.
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CSKA Sofia vs Derry City: Prediction & Betting Tips
Kick-off Time: 09.07.2026 20:00 CET
Competition: Europa League
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.62
Sportsbook: 20bet - 20bet
- Derry City have conceded at least two goals in nine of their last fifteen away matches in Europe.
- Their most recent game ended in a 4-2 home defeat to Waterford, extending a run of defensive lapses regardless of possession share.
- CSKA scored three unanswered goals in their last friendly and will look to stretch a defense that’s already shown it can be broken down.
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