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Last updated: 1 October 2026 23:42 CET
Portugal vs Norway Prediction 04.10.2026. Cristiano Ronaldo walked out of the Portugal camp on Wednesday 30 September, after Jorge Jesus confirmed he would be benched again. Any Portugal vs Norway prediction 04.10.2026 starts there. Matchday 4 of UEFA Nations League A, Group A4, kicks off at 20:45 CEST (19:45 local time) at the Estádio do Dragão in Porto.
Portugal lead the group with nine points from three matches, and a fourth win would guarantee a top-two finish. Norway have three points and two straight defeats. They have conceded six goals.
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- Betting bonuses welcomeThursday’s 4-2 win over Denmark at Parken needed patience, because Denmark equalised twice. João Cancelo scored on 13 minutes and Gonçalo Ramos restored the lead on 25. Vitinha made it 3-2 on 67. João Félix added the fourth on 87.
In Oslo four days earlier, Félix and Ramos scored in a 2-1 win over Norway. Ronaldo never left the bench.
The opener on 24 September was a 1-0 defeat of Wales in Lisbon. Félix struck on 22 minutes. He has scored in all three group games, and the Portugal vs Norway odds favour the hosts on that evidence. Jesus took over in July after Spain ended the World Cup run in the last 16.
Leading through Oscar Bobb after 11 minutes, Norway still lost 2-1 to Wales in Cardiff on Thursday. Daniel James levelled on 38. Torbjørn Heggem was sent off just after the restart, and Neco Williams scored from the free-kick on 48.
That defeat followed a 2-1 home loss to Portugal on 27 September, when Erling Haaland equalised before Ramos intercepted an Ørjan Nyland pass and scored the winner. Two defeats inside a week.
Before that came a 3-2 win over Denmark in Oslo on 24 September, Haaland scoring twice including the winner on 74 minutes. Ståle Solbakken took this squad to a first World Cup quarter-final in July. England won it 2-1 after extra time.
Recent history is short. The Portugal vs Norway H2H shows a 2-1 Portugal win in Oslo on 27 September and a 3-0 friendly win in Porto on 29 May 2016.
Group form settles this Portugal vs Norway prediction. Portugal have scored seven goals in three group wins, the last two away and without Ronaldo. Norway have lost twice running and conceded two goals each time. The best bet in this fixture is the home win.
Kick-off Time: 04.10.2026 20:45 CEST
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Prediction: Portugal to win
Odds: 1.81
Sportsbook: Granawin - Review granawin
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change. 18+, gamble responsibly.
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