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Last updated: 23 September 2026 22:50 CET
Italy vs Belgium Prediction 25.09.2026. This Italy vs Belgium Prediction 25.09.2026 opens matchday one of League A Group A1 in the UEFA Nations League - Uefanationsleague match 2048010 italy vs belgium, played on Friday evening at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Roberto Mancini returns to the Italy bench after three years away. Mark van Bommel takes a senior international job for the first time.
Two rebuilds start here. Italy have not played a competitive match since 31 March, when a shoot-out in Zenica cost them a third consecutive World Cup. Belgium have played six matches since, reaching a World Cup quarter-final and losing only the last of them.
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- Betting bonuses welcomeThe most recent outing was a 1-0 win in Greece on 7 June, settled by a first-half Pio Esposito finish at the Pankritio Stadium in Heraklion. Silvio Baldini picked that side as caretaker. Mancini was appointed on 28 July.
Zenica came before it. Moise Kean scored on 15 minutes at Stadion Bilino Polje, Alessandro Bastoni was sent off before the interval, and Haris Tabakovic equalised on 79. Bosnia and Herzegovina won the shoot-out 4-1, Esposito and Bryan Cristante missing.
Five days earlier the Azzurri had beaten Northern Ireland 2-0 in Bergamo through Sandro Tonali and Kean. Mancini has named a 34-man squad for this window. The Italy vs Belgium odds have the hosts around 2.10, short for a team whose last competitive night ended that way.
Belgium’s summer finished on 10 July at Los Angeles Stadium. Charles De Ketelaere headed them level on 41 minutes, then Mikel Merino won it for Spain on 88, moments after Thibaut Courtois had gone off injured. Spain 2-1.
Four days before that, the United States were taken apart 4-1 in Seattle. De Ketelaere scored twice, Hans Vanaken made it three on 57, and Romelu Lukaku finished it in stoppage time. Senegal had been beaten 3-2 in the round of 32.
Group G was slower. A 1-1 draw with Egypt and a goalless night against Iran left the Red Devils needing a 5-1 win over New Zealand to top the section. Van Bommel started work on 15 August, contracted to Euro 2028.
The Italy vs Belgium H2H is very recent, because the pair shared Group A2 last edition. Andrea Cambiaso and Mateo Retegui put Italy 2-0 up inside 24 minutes in Rome on 10 October 2024, before Lorenzo Pellegrini’s red card and goals from Maxim De Cuyper and Leandro Trossard made it 2-2. Tonali’s early strike then won it 1-0 in Brussels on 14 November.
What time does Italy vs Belgium start?
Kick-off is 20:45 CET on Friday 25 September 2026 at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
Where can I watch Italy vs Belgium?
RAI Play, Mediaset and Sky Italia carry it in Italy, VTM GO in Belgium, and Prime Video in the United Kingdom.
Who will win Italy vs Belgium?
Italy are favourites at around 2.10, but both managers take charge for the first time and neither attack has a settled shape.
When did Italy and Belgium last meet?
On 14 November 2024 in Brussels, where Sandro Tonali’s goal gave Italy a 1-0 win.
Our Italy vs Belgium Prediction leans low rather than sideways. Three goals in three matches, plus 120 minutes without a winner in Zenica, is not the profile of a side about to trade blows. Belgium’s own tournament opened 1-1 and 0-0 before New Zealand flattered the numbers. The best bet on Italy vs Belgium is therefore in the goals market rather than the result, and our Italy vs Belgium betting tips take under 2.5 with two debutant coaches fielding unfamiliar sides.
Kick-off Time: 25.09.2026 20:45 CET
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.05
Sportsbook: Planbet - Review planbet
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change. 18+, gamble responsibly.
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