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Last updated: 1 October 2026 10:38 CET
France vs Italy Prediction 02.10.2026. Zinedine Zidane is two from two as France coach. His first game at the Stade de France comes on Friday, and that homecoming frames the France vs Italy Prediction 02.10.2026, a Matchday 3 meeting in League A, Group 1 of the UEFA Nations Leagu - Uefanationsleaguee, with kick-off at 20:45 CEST in Saint-Denis.
France top Group 1 on six points after two 1-0 wins. Italy have three after Monday’s 4-1 win in Turkey. Roberto Mancini’s side must breach a defence that has not conceded since July.
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- Betting bonuses welcomeMichael Olise settled Monday’s trip to Brussels. The substitute ran from inside his own half to score the 88th-minute winner at the King Baudouin Stadium. Zidane was without captain Kylian Mbappé, back at Real Madrid for treatment on his left knee.
Mbappé had hurt that knee scoring the winner in Kocaeli on 25 September, a 54th-minute strike that beat Turkey 1-0. Two clean sheets, then, but only two goals. The France vs Italy odds make the hosts 1.40 favourites with Bet365, a price resting on that defence.
Summer went badly for Didier Deschamps. His 14-year reign ended with a 6-4 defeat by England in the World Cup third-place play-off in Miami on 18 July, after a 2-0 semi-final loss to Spain. Zidane’s side host Belgium on 5 October.
Bursa was settled inside 27 minutes on Monday. Alessandro Bastoni scored in the ninth minute, Davide Frattesi added a second on 22 and Michael Kayode struck on his debut five minutes later. Pio Esposito made it 4-1 on 50 minutes.
Three days earlier the mood was grim. Belgium won 2-0 at the Stadio Olimpico in Mancini’s first game back, Mika Godts scoring on 20 minutes and Dodi Lukebakio adding a long-range second on 69. Bastoni missed it through suspension.
June brought two 1-0 friendly wins under caretaker Silvio Baldini, Pio Esposito scoring in Greece on 7 June and in Luxembourg on 3 June. The 31 March play-off final in Zenica had ended in a penalty defeat by Bosnia and Herzegovina after a 1-1 draw, with Bastoni sent off. Mancini took over on 28 July.
The France vs Italy H2H from the last Nations League cycle is dead level. Italy won 3-1 in Paris on 6 September 2024. France won by the same score at San Siro on 17 November 2024.
What time does France vs Italy start? Kick-off is 20:45 CEST on Friday 2 October 2026, which is also local time at the Stade de France in Saint-Denis.
Where can I watch France vs Italy? In the United States the match is on Fox Sports 1 and streams on Fubo.
Who will win France vs Italy? France are our pick. They lead Group 1 with six points and two clean sheets, while Italy have conceded three goals in their two games.
When did France and Italy last meet? They last met on 17 November 2024 at San Siro in Milan, where France won 3-1 in the Nations League.
Zidane’s France have not conceded in two games. Italy lost 2-0 at home to Belgium. That contrast points the France vs Italy Prediction to a home win, and the France vs Italy betting tips stay simple. The best bet on France vs Italy is France to win at 1.40.
Kick-off Time: 02.10.2026 20:45 CEST
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Prediction: France to win
Odds: 1.45
Sportsbook: Granawin - Review granawin
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change. 18+, gamble responsibly.
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