Partizan vs FMP (10.03.2025) – Best Player Props Prediction

Player Props Prediction – Partizan vs FMP – 10.03.2025. In Round 22 of the AdmiralBet ABA League, Partizan Mozzart welcomes FMP.
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Player Props Prediction
Partizan faces FMP in Round 22 of the ABA League, and Carlik Jones will be one of the players under the spotlight. Given his recent performances, the question is whether he will score over or under 11.5 points in this matchup. Based on his latest games, we analyze his scoring trends, playing time, and factors that could impact his performance in this particular game.
Recent Performances
Jones has played 10 games for Partizan across all competitions, showing varying scoring outputs.
- Scored under 11.5 points in 6 of the last 10 games
- Scored over 11.5 points in 4 of the last 10 games
- Averaging 16.2 points per game in this span
- Playing an average of 26 minutes per game
While his average PPG seems high, it is important to look at his performances in specific scenarios. Jones has had several high-scoring outings, particularly in close games or when he was given extended playing time. However, in matches where his minutes were reduced, his scoring output dropped significantly.
Scoring Breakdown in Low-Minute Games
Whenever Jones played under 20 minutes, his scoring performances were noticeably lower:
- 10 points in 15:28 min vs Mega Basket
- 3 points in 10:41 min vs Zadar
- 4 points in 28:43 min vs Monaco (exception due to low efficiency)
This trend suggests that his ability to exceed 11.5 points is closely tied to how much time he spends on the court. shooting.
Carlik Jones (Partizan) Player Props Prediction
Partizan has a crucial EuroLeague clash against Barcelona just a few days after this game. Given the importance of that matchup, coach Željko Obradović may decide to limit the minutes of key players, including Jones. Managing his workload would make sense, as Partizan aims to keep players fresh for the EuroLeague, which remains the club’s main priority.
If Obradović opts to distribute playing time more evenly, Jones could see a reduced role against FMP. This would significantly lower his chances of surpassing 11.5 points, making the Under 11.5 points bet a solid option.

Tip-off Time: Monday, 10.03.2025 18:00 CET
Prediction: Carlik Jones (Partizan) ) Under 11.5 points
Odds: 1,90
Sportsbook: Mozzart