Turkey vs. France Prediction, Tips and Odds – Sep. 10, 2022 12:00 CET
The knockout stage of the Eurobasket begins this weekend. All games until the end of the tournament will be played in Berlin, and on Saturday we will watch the first four matches of the Round of 16. Turkey and France will meet in the opening duel.
It will be a clash between the second-placed team from group A and the third-placed team from Group B. Bookmakers assign the role of favorites to the French, but the Turks have their own qualities that can surprise Vincent Collet’s team.
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Turkish basketball players did not play consistently well during the group stage. They recorded three wins and two losses, but the quality of their performance constantly fluctuated. They beat Montenegro, Bulgaria, and Belgium, and were defeated by Georgia and Spain, which was enough for them to take second place.
The main strength of this team is the Osman – Korkmaz – Sengun – Larkin quartet. Alperen Sengun, the talented center of the Houston Rockets, was the best Turkish individual in the tournament so far. He showed offensive versatility and he is the prototype of a modern NBA center. It is clear that he will be a key player of this national team in the future. He will have a tough job against France because he will play against three giants – Gobert, Fall, and Poirier, who are good defenders, especially Gobert.
Turkey’s effectiveness will largely depend on Cedi Osman and Furkan Korkmaz. The two averaged 27.5 points per game. The Philadelphia 76ers player has underperformed in some games and will certainly be expected to take his productivity to a higher level against France.
A big problem for coach Ergin Ataman is a hand injury of the main playmaker Shane Larkin, who will miss the rest of the championship. This will greatly affect the offensive quality of Turkey, so we expect that Sehmus Hazer will spend the most minutes in this position.
France’s performance in the group stage also fell short of expectations. They lost to Slovenia and Germany, and registered a narrow victory against Lithuania, while they struggled to win against Bosnia and Herzegovina and Hungary, the weakest teams in the group. They finished their participation in group B in third place, so they already have a tough opponent in the first match of the knockout phase.
Evan Fournier and Rudy Gobert are the biggest names on this French roster, but both need to play much better against Turkey. Fournier is the team’s best scorer with an average of 15 points, but this is more an indication that the form of the other players is not at an adequate level, rather than that the New York Knicks player played well.
Guerschon Yabusele was excellent in every game and his contribution is really huge. He fights a lot for every ball in defense, controls the rebound, and is also active offensively, scoring an average of 14.8 points per game.
What can worry coach Vincent Collet is the bad form of his role players. Luwawu-Cabarrot, Okobo, and M’Baye have been playing significantly worse than in their clubs. This is not good at all because three players cannot take full responsibility.
These two national teams met in the same phase of Eurobasket 2015, and the French then won dominantly 76-63.
In the absence of Larkin, additional space in the offensive will be given to Furkan Korkmaz. We expect a lot of minutes from the Philadelphia 76ers players and we believe that this margin is too low, and that they will score 15 or more points.
Prediction: Furkan Korkmaz Total Points Over 13.5