Spain vs. Lithuania Prediction, Tips & Odds – Sep. 10, 2022 20:45 CET
The most interesting game of the Eurobasket round of 16 will be played on Saturday between Spain and Lithuania.
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Spain did a very good job in the group stage and finished in first place. Apart from unexpected defeat against Belgium, they recorded four wins, but the decisive games are yet to come. In another situation, first position would guarantee a much easier opponent in the round of 16, but that is not the case this time.
Group B was made up of four national teams that are candidates for a medal, so Spain opponent in the round of 16 will be Lithuania. Hernangomez brothers and Lorenzo Brown are players on whom offensive game depends the most. Apart from them, there is not too much talent for the biggest result. Dario Brizuela is a very good shooter, Xabi Lopez-Arostegui had a solid season in Valencia, but these are not capable players to lead national team to the medal in a tournament like this.
However, only a madman can write off Spain. In the past, they have defied forecasts countless times and created surprises, but the fact is that this is the weakest Spain selection that Sergio Scariolo has brought to the big competition.
Lithuania had a terrible start to this tournament. They lost in first three rounds against Slovenia, France and Germany and had to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina in order to advance. They did it without too many difficulties and everything that happened until now is forgotten.
The weaker position in group brought them a tricky opponent in the round of 16, but Lithuania currently has more quality than Spain. Jonas Valanciunas is rightfully the leader of this national team, while Domantas Sabonis plays better and better as this tournament progresses. Marius Grigonis has found his best after struggling with injuries all season long, plus Rokas Jokubaitis is looking solid as well. Perhaps the weakest link in this team is head coach Kazys Maksvytis for whom this is the biggest challenge in his career.
Lithuania will be the favorite in this game, but they will have to be at the same level as they were against Bosnia and Herzegovina. Spain has a lot of experience, just like their coach Scariolo. Throughout entire qualifiers these players played together. That is another reason why they should not be underestimated.
Spain and Lithuania played their last official game at the Olympic Games back in 2016, when Spain humiliated the opponent by 109:59. They also played against each other in the Eurobasket 2015 final, when Lithuania also lost.
Sergio Rodriguez, Sergio Llull, Ricky Rubio and Alex Abrines are just some of the players who had to miss this Eurobasket for Spain. Lithuania has all players available.
Spain vs. Lithuania Prediction
Lithuania is a better team at this moment and they are playing better as tournament progresses. Spain showed all its flaws against Belgium and a team like Lithuania will know how to use it and punish them. While it’s always risky to bet against Spain in a big competition, the value is definitely there.
Date and Time: 10.09.2022. 20:45 CET
Pick: Lithuania -3.5