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Nottingham vs Leeds Prediction 22.08.2026. Oliver Glasner’s first competitive game in charge of Nottingham Forest comes against a Leeds United side riding the wave of promotion, and this preview looks at how that mismatch in momentum could play out at the City Ground.
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- Betting bonuses welcomeNottingham Forest’s build-up to this one is dominated by a managerial change, with Oliver Glasner taking charge and preparing for his first competitive fixture at the helm. Their results from the back end of last season give some sense of what he’s inherited: a 1-1 home draw with AFC Bournemouth on 24 May was a fair reflection of a side neither easy to beat nor able to see games out. Before that, Forest actually led away at Manchester United on 17 May before eventually losing 3-2, a result that summed up a recurring theme of good starts undone by second-half lapses. A 1-1 home draw with Newcastle United on 10 May followed a similar script, with Forest again unable to hold onto an advantage for the full 90 minutes. That pattern of mixed defensive solidity under the previous regime is exactly what Glasner will be looking to fix in his early weeks in the job. Ryan Yates and Nicolo Savona are both ruled out through injury, adding to the challenge of implementing new ideas with a squad already short of options. With a new manager, a couple of key absences and defensive habits still to iron out, Forest go into this opener carrying more uncertainty than most sides in the division.
Leeds United arrive at the City Ground on the back of an entirely different kind of season, having secured promotion back to the Premier League under Daniel Farke. Their run through the play-off and league campaigns was defined by attacking output, with Leeds regularly among the most productive sides in the division during the promotion push. That form carried into pre-season, where a 4-0 win over Augsburg in a late friendly offered a glimpse of the attacking sharpness Farke has been building over the summer, even if it came outside competitive fixtures. Farke’s track record of getting newly promoted sides off to fast starts in the Premier League will be a point of confidence for Leeds heading into this trip. There are no major confirmed absences for Leeds beyond the usual squad monitoring clubs carry out at this stage of the season, meaning Farke should have closer to a full-strength squad available. That’s a notable advantage over opponents dealing with fresh injury concerns, and it gives Leeds the platform to translate their promotion-winning form onto the biggest stage. Attacking intent, a settled squad and momentum from the Championship campaign all point toward Leeds travelling to Nottingham with genuine confidence rather than typical newly-promoted caution.
Home advantage has generally worked in Forest’s favour in this fixture recently, with the City Ground producing wins for the hosts in four of their last four meetings with Leeds. That run was interrupted only by Leeds’ 3-1 win at Elland Road earlier in the 2025-26 season, a reminder that this fixture can swing sharply depending on where it’s played. Forest’s recent dominance at home came under the previous management setup, which adds a layer of uncertainty now that Glasner is in charge for the first time in this particular derby. Given how differently the two clubs’ seasons have gone since that last meeting, this head-to-head record may carry less weight than usual.
Kick-off Time: 22.08.2026 16:00 CET
Competition: Premier League
Prediction: Leeds United X2
Odds: 1.67
Sportsbook: Ivibet - Ivibet
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