Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction & Betting Tips 31.08.2026

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Football Predictions, Picks

August 30, 2026

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Last updated: 30 August 2026 10:43 CET

Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction 31.08.2026. Lecce arrive off the back of their first league win - Serie a fixtures results of the season, while Roma have already put four past a top-half side at home – two very different momentum lines collide at Via del Mare.

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Lecce

Falcone had little to do early, then everything changed after the restart. Lecce broke the deadlock 25 seconds into the second half through Olaf Gorter, and substitute Tiago Gabriel headed in a second on 80 minutes to seal a 2-0 away win at Venezia — despite being outshot 19-2 with Venezia posting 2.1 xG on the night. Di Francesco’s side sit on three points, having scored twice without conceding in Serie A so far. Their cup involvement ended almost before it began: a 0-2 loss at second-tier Palermo in the Coppa Italia first round on 17 August. A pre-season win over Monopoli carries no competitive weight here. Medon Berisha is only listed as a doubt with physical discomfort, not a confirmed absentee, and Antonino Gallo is back available after leaving the Venezia match injured. That’s the shape of the Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction and Analysis heading into Monday. Official club updates are collected on the Lega Serie A - match centre.

AS Roma

Donyell Malen was the story at the Olimpico. He opened the scoring before half-time, completed a hat-trick after the break, and Niccolò Pisilli added a late fourth as Roma routed Fiorentina 4-0. Paulo Dybala created all three chances that led to Malen’s goals, and the underlying numbers back the scoreline up — 2.84 xG, eight shots on target. Gasperini’s side closed last season with a 2-0 away win at Verona and a 2-0 derby win over Lazio, useful reference points even months on. Summer friendlies (a 2-2 draw at Borussia Dortmund, a 0-3 loss at Brighton) are fitness notes, nothing more. Devyne Rensch is out with a thigh issue and Lorenzo Pellegrini remains a doubt. Nahuel Molina didn’t feature at all against Fiorentina, with Emanuele Lulli preferred at wing-back — a selection call worth watching again on Monday.

Lecce vs AS Roma Head-to-Head

Three straight wins for Roma, and none of them loud. A 1-0 home win in March 2026 followed a goalless first half; a 2-0 away win in Lecce came in January of that year; a 1-0 win in Lecce dates back to March 2025. Combined, those three games produced just four goals. Lecce simply haven’t beaten Roma in this fixture for years — a pattern that shapes the Lecce vs AS Roma H2H picture more than any single scoreline does.

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Where to Watch Lecce vs AS Roma Live Online?

Lecce vs AS Roma: Prediction & Betting Tips

Final Prediction and Betting Verdict

Roma Asian Handicap -1 is the main play because Roma beat Fiorentina 4-0 at home and have won their last three league meetings with Lecce by 1-0, 2-0 and 1-0. Sample size is still small after one Serie A round, so the handicap is preferred to a short match-winner price.

Roma kept a clean sheet in that 4-0 win and Lecce also blanked Venezia 2-0, yet Roma’s 2.84 xG against a top-half opponent is the clearer attacking marker.

Lecce’s only other competitive result this month was the 0-2 Coppa Italia defeat at Palermo, which underlines why backing them to stay within one goal is the wrong side.

Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.

• Kick-off Time: 31.08.2026 18:30 CET
• Competition: Serie A
• Prediction: Roma to win
• Odds: 1.51
• Sportsbook: 22bet - 22bet

Alternative Betting Tips for Lecce vs AS Roma

• Under 3.5 Goals – Roma’s last three league games against Lecce finished 1-0, 2-0 and 1-0, and Lecce’s Serie A opener also stayed at two goals. Odds: 1.32 (22bet - 22bet)
• Roma Team Total Over 1.5 Goals – Malen scored three times in the 4-0 home win over Fiorentina and Roma have scored at least twice in each of their last three league meetings with Lecce. Odds: 1.72 (22bet - 22bet)

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