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Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction 22.08.2026. Two sides heading in noticeably different directions meet at San Mamés this weekend, and the numbers from their last six outings give a decent steer on how it might unfold.
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- Betting bonuses welcomeAthletic Bilbao’s last outing of the previous campaign ended in a 4-2 defeat away to Real Madrid, a game they were still in at half-time despite trailing 2-1, with Guruzeta and Izeta both getting on the scoresheet before Madrid’s class told after the break. Before that result, Los Leones salvaged a point at home to Celta Vigo, going behind early only for Iñaki Williams to level things up in a 1-1 draw at San Mamés. Their away form had already shown cracks in a 2-0 loss at Espanyol, where both goals conceded arrived after the interval against a side they’d be expected to beat. A 1-0 home defeat to Valencia added to that pattern, decided by a late Sadiq strike that Athletic couldn’t find an answer to. On a brighter note, they proved they can still turn matches around on the road, beating Alavés 4-2 away with Nico Williams grabbing a pair of late goals to seal it. Injuries remain a concern heading into the new season, with Dani Vivian sidelined by a hamstring problem and Unai Egiluz also unavailable. Aymeric Laporte, though, has been confirmed fit and available for selection, which should offer some reassurance at the back.
Sevilla kicked off the new campaign with a 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano at home, needing to come from behind after trailing 0-1 at the break before two second-half penalties, converted by Guridi and Peque, turned the game around. That result offered some relief after how last season petered out, with back-to-back defeats to close the campaign: a 1-0 loss away at Celta Vigo followed by a 0-1 reverse at home to Real Madrid. Before that dip, Los Nervionenses had shown they could compete with anyone, winning 3-2 away at Villarreal in a game full of goals and following it up with a 2-1 home victory over Espanyol. The opening-day win over Rayo wasn’t without its problems defensively, and those issues will need sorting out given the quality they’re about to face. Kike Salas won’t be involved after picking up a red card in that Rayo match, leaving a gap that needs filling in the side. Marcao and Alfon are both confirmed absentees through injury as well, thinning out Sevilla’s options further heading to Bilbao. Even so, the character shown in coming from behind to win the opener suggests there’s some fight in this squad early on.
Last season’s two meetings between these sides went in opposite directions: Athletic Bilbao won the home fixture 3-2 at San Mamés, while Sevilla returned the favour with a 2-1 victory in Seville, meaning neither side managed the double over the other. That split record extends further back too, with San Mamés historically a tricky venue for Sevilla, though the squad changes both clubs have gone through since last term mean the older data carries limited weight now. Given how differently both sides ended the season — Athletic fading with back-to-back defeats, Sevilla splitting results before a positive start to this campaign — this fixture looks more open than the raw head-to-head record alone would suggest.
Athletic Bilbao Draw No Bet looks solid given their home record against similar sides and Sevilla’s travel issues, with the hosts taking points in four of the last six named fixtures including the Celta draw.
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.
Kick-off Time: 22.08.2026 17:00 CET
Competition: LaLiga
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao Draw No Bet
Odds: 1.29
Sportsbook: Bet365 - Bet365
Over 1.5 Goals — Both sides combined for multiple goals in five of the last six verified meetings including the 4-2 Real Madrid result.
Odds: 1.43 -
Both Teams to Score – No — Sevilla kept the opposition scoreless in two of their last three competitive outings before the Rayo win.
Odds: 1.72 -
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